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Minggu, 27 Maret 2016

IMPORT

CHAPTER I
PRELIMINARY
1.1 Background
International trade policy is a rule established by certain agencies in the conduct of world trade is carried on by a resident of a country with the population of another country on the basis of mutual agreement. Residents in question can be either an individual (individual to individual), between the individual and the government of a country or a state government with other governments. In many countries, international trade became one of the main factors to boost GDP. International trade in Indonesia is also intertwined with foreign countries, including the countries of the region with Indonesia.

1.2 Formulation of the problem
1. What is the import ?
2. What is the policy of import ?
3. Any product imported ?

1.3 Objectives
1. Knowing the sense of imports
2. Knowing the policies of import
3. Knowing what the imported products




CHAPTER II
DISCUSSION

Import
Import is the process of transportation of goods or commodities from one country to another country legally, generally in the trade process. The import process generally is the act of entering goods or commodities from other countries into the country. Imports of goods on a large generally requires the intervention of the customs in sending and receiving countries. Import is an important part of international trade.
Understanding imports by Customs Act activities to supply goods to the customs area. All goods intended is some or all items in the form and type anything into the customs area.
Indonesia to import three kinds of goods, namely:
v  Consumption goods are goods that are used to meet daily needs, such as food, beverages, milk, butter, rice, and meat.
v  Raw or material goods Helper is necessary for industrial activities either as raw material or supporting materials, such as paper, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and motor vehicles.
v  Capital Goods are capital goods used for business such as machinery, spare parts, computers, aircraft, and heavy equipment.
Import Policy
To protect domestic production from the threat of similar products manufactured abroad, the government of a country will usually apply or mangeluarkan an international trade policy in the field of import. This kebijhakan, directly or indirectly, will inevitably affect the structure, composition, and smoothness of the efforts to encourage or protect domestic industrial growth (domestic) and foreign exchange savings.
Import Requirements
Before a person or business entity doing import, the conditions that must be met are:
1.      Asking and fill out the form to attach:
v  Copy of Deed Businesses te-legalized.
v  License
v  Corporate Domicile
v  TIN
v  Beginning Balance
v  Reference bank concerned
v  Evidence of relationship or contact with foreign countries, or the appointment of an agent (registered at the Ministry)
v  Company Registration Certificate
2.      Once the data is checked properly and complete, the Regional Office of the Ministry published API (Importer Identification Number).
Documents Import
1.      RKSP (Arrival Plan of Carriers)
2.      PIB (Notice of Imported Goods) is a notification by the declarant for the goods to be imported under the Customs supplementary documents according to the principles of self assessment.
3.      Manifest is a document that lists the cargo. This document contains the type of goods, brand goods, and quantity of goods.
4.      Invoice is a document that is used as a statement of charges to be paid by the customer.
5.      COO (certificat of Origin) is a certification of the origin of goods, where it is stated in the certificate that the goods or commodities that are exported from the area or the exporting country.
6.      DO {Delivery Order) is a document that serves as a warrant for delivery of goods to the bearer of the letter, addressed to the store section (Section warehouse) warehouse belonging to the company or parts of other companies that have consensus with the company issuing the Delivery Order.
Import developments in Indonesia
a. Imports of oil and gas and non-oil
Indonesia's import value in January 2011 amounted to US $ 12,548.7 million or a decrease of US $ 598.0 million (4.55 percent) when compared to the imports in December 2010. It inidisebabkan by a decline in non-oil imports of US $ 926.8 million, or 8.82 percent. In contrast, oil and gas imports have increased US $ 328.8 million (12.44 percent). Further increase in oil imports caused by increased imports of oil products amounted to US $ 519.3 million (33.25 percent). Meanwhile, imports of crude oil and gas respectively decreased by US $ 135.1 million (15.05 percent) and US $ 55.4 million (30.19 percent).
Meanwhile when compared with the same month the previous year, the value of Indonesia's imports in January 2011 increased by US $ 3,058.2 million, or 32.22 percent. The increase occurred in oil and non-oil imports amounting to US $ 1,034.9 million (53.43 percent) and US $ 2,023.3 million (26.79 percent). In more detail the increase in oil imports was due to the increase in imports of petroleum products amounted to US $ 1,074.6 million (106,79persen) and gas imports amounted to US $ 45.8 million (55.65 percent). Instead of importing crude oil declined US $ 85.5 billion, or 10.08 percent. 
b. Non-Oil Imports By Type Item
During January 2011, the value of Indonesian non-oil imports reached US $ 9,576.9 million. When compared to non-oil imports in December 2010, three classes of goods had increased the value of imports, namely class cotton goods amounted to US $ 21.6 million (8.79 percent), plastics and plastic goods amounted to US $ 4.0 million (0.84 percent), and motor vehicles and parts worth US $ 2.7 million (0.56 percent). Meanwhile, seven other goods group decreased the value of imports.
Of the seven categories of goods imports declined, one class of goods decreased by over US $ 100.0 million, namely machinery and mechanical equipment in the amount of US $ 143.1 million, or 7.68 percent. The next four groups of goods decreased between US $ 50.0 million to US $ 100.0 million, ie iron and steel amounted to US $ 81.6 million (12.76 percent), electrical machinery and equipment amounted to US $ 63.7 million (4.34 percent), organic chemicals amounting to US $ 63.4 million (12.33
percent), and cereals amounted to US $ 56.1 million (13.86 percent). Two other groups of goods dropped to below US $ 50.0 million, ie goods of iron and steel amounted to US $ 33.9 million (11.63 percent) and sugar and confectionery amounted to US $ 1.1 million (0.54 percent).
Meanwhile, if compared to the import of the same month the previous year, then in January 2011 imports of goods only group of iron and steel decreased by US $ 37.9 million (12.83 percent). Meanwhile nine other categories of goods have increased the value of imports to the highest achieved by an increase in imports of machinery and electrical equipment amounted to US $ 313.0 million, or 28.64 percent. While the increase experienced by the lowest import organic chemicals amounting to US $ 37.7 million (9.13 percent).
c. Non-oil Imports by Country of Origin Main
The total value of Indonesian non-oil imports in January 2011 amounted to US $ 9,576.9 million, down US $ 926.8 million (8.82 percent) than non-oil imports in December 2010. The value of non-oil imports, amounting US $ 2,147.1 million (22.42 percent) from ASEAN and US $ 833.5 million (8.70 percent) from the European Union.
Based on the country of origin of major items, non-oil imports of China is the largest, amounting to US $ 1,815.2 million, or 18.95 percent of the total Indonesian non-oil imports, followed by Japan at US $ 1,379.4 million (14.40 percent), Singapore amounting to US $ 818.9 million (8.55 percent), Thailand amounted to US $ 693.7 million (6.85 percent), United States of US $ 678.7 million (7.09 percent), South Korea US $ 564.3 million (5.89 percent), Malaysia amounted to US $ 399.9 million (4.18 percent), Australia amounted to US $ 337.7 million (3.53 percent), Germany amounted to US $ 271.1 million (2.83 percent), and Taiwan US $ 283, 6 million (2.96 percent). Furthermore, non-oil imports from France amounted to US $ 110.2 million (1.15 percent) and the UK amounted to US $ 61.4 million (0.86 percent). Overall, the twelve major countries above provide a role for 77.42 percent of total non-oil imports Indonesia.Dilihat of progress against January 2010, imports from twelve major countries increased by 25.43 percent. The increase was mainly contributed by two major countries, namely China increased US $ 409.2 million (29.10 percent) and Japan increased by US $ 316.0 billion (29.72 percent).
d. Imports According to the Group Use of Goods
Of the total imports of Indonesia during January 2011 amounted to US $ 12,548.7 million, imports of raw materials or auxiliary provides the greatest role, which is 75.08 percent with a value of US $ 9,421.5 million, followed by capital goods imports amounted to 16.71 per cent (US $ 2,096, 7 million), and imports of consumer goods amounted to 8.21 percent (US $ 1,030.5 million). Indonesia imports are broken down by type of use of goods, imports during January 2011 compared to the same month of the previous year has increased for all groups, namely for imports of consumer goods from US $ 625.4 million to US $ 1,030.5 million, an increase of 64.77 per cent and imports raw materials / auxiliary of US $ 7,047.6 million to US $ 9.421,5juta (up 33.68 percent). Likewise, imports of capital goods increased from US $ 1,817.5 million to US $ 2,096.7 million, up 15.36 percent.



Procedures Import Export Activity
Procedures to be followed when conducting import activities, among others:
1.      Importers domestic and Overseas Supplier in correspondence and bargaining price that will be imported.
2.      If an agreement between the two sides, then made a contract of buy and sell (sales contract).
3.      Importers LC to open the domestic foreign exchange bank.
4.      Foreign Exchange Bank informed the Bank about opening LC LN Contact her.
5.      Bank or Correspondent contacted Exportir LN LN.
6.      LN message Exportir place (room) to the agent shipping agents, with the intention that can be loaded and shipped. 6a. Ship to the Port Indonesia.
7.      Supplier handed Invoice, Packing List original sheet to Bank L N danmenarik weselnya above while duplicate documents sent directly to the importer.
8.      Bank LN send documents to the Foreign Exchange Bank.
9.      9. Exchange Bank DN submit original documents to the importer.
10.  Importers submit documents to EMKL power of attorney document.
11.  EMKL swap the original bill of lading degan D / O to the shipping agent and make PPUD based on those documents, as well as importers pay duties VAT etc.
12.  Goods out into free circulation or delivered to the importer.
PROCESS FLOW OF GOODS


Rounded Rectangle: CARRIAGE Rounded Rectangle: DEMOLITION
Rounded Rectangle: HOARDING
Rounded Rectangle: SPENDING
Rounded Rectangle: EXAMINATION
 







Benefit Imports
a. Obtaining Goods and Services Could Not Be Generated
Every country has natural resources and human resources capabilities vary. For example, the natural state of Indonesia can not produce wheat and America can not produce palm oil. Interstate commerce able to resolve the issue. Interstate commerce enables Indonesia to acquire American wheat and palm oil gained.
Trade between countries will be able to bring items that can not be produced domestically. For example, Indonesia has not been able to produce heavy machinery. Therefore, Indonesia trade with America, Japan, China and South Korea in the procurement of these tools.
b. Getting a Modern Technology
The production process can be made easy with the modern technologies. For example, the use of welding machine on a motorcycle assembly plant. These machines simplify the process of connecting the motor frame. Another example is laser copiers. This machine can duplicate documents more quickly and clearly.
The level of technology in our country generally still modest. Technology development is still slow due to the low quality of human resources. To support production activities, we can import technology from abroad. In trading usually occurs the exchange of information. From this information exchange, Indonesia can learn new production techniques and the use of modern technologies.
c. Getting a Raw Materials
Every business definitely requires raw materials. To produce the required iron and steel cars. To produce buckets, bowls and plastic chairs plastic required. Not all of the production of raw materials produced in the country. Perhaps there is produced in the country, but are more expensive. Employers would prefer the raw materials that are cheaper. For the sake of continuity of production, the employer must maintain the supply of raw material. One way to import raw materials from abroad.



Import Issues
v External
a. Trust between importers
One of the external factors that are important to guarantee its transactions executed importer is trust. The two parties are the place apart and hardly know each other is a risk when involved with the exchange of goods with money. Therefore, before the contract of sale is held each party, must already know the credibility of its trading partners. Mutual trust between the two sides exporter-importer is absolutely necessary in order to avoid the difficulties and disagreements in the future.
b. Marketing
To the State where the goods will be marketed to get the best possible price are factors to Consider. In an effort to secure the activities in the field of export, the exporter needs to be emphasized particularly subject to the necessity of studying marketing techniques, knowing the potential of Reviews These items.
c. The quota system and improved relations with other countries
However the desire of both parties to increase transactions which are quite beneficial, but, if there are restrictions such as quotas for the goods and quota State, it is not fully implemented.
d. Entanglement membership in international organizations
This organization is intended to regulate the stability of prices and goods of export commodities in the international market. But apart from the benefits gained by membership in the organization, membership in it often is an inhibitor to be able to perform certain actions for the improvement of commodity transactions are concerned.
v Intern
a. Technical preparations
Companies must import company to fulfill the terms of trying to get attention sometimes not earnest. Technical preparations that should have been done overlooked because hunted by the larger goal that is the pursuit of quick and tangible results from the trade it self, so that the basic requirements for the implementation of import transactions was forgotten.


b. Ability and understanding of foreign transactions
Successful and smooth implementation of import transactions are also supported by the extent to which knowledge or understanding of the importer, which needs to be mastered is the basics of import transactions, the procedures for implementation is, filling form filling required, government regulations and abroad where colleagues trading is located.
c. Financing
Financing for the transaction is an important issue the which not infrequently faced by entrepreneurs importers. In this case the necessary entrepreneurs who are able to manage finances wisely and learn and take advantage of the possibility of financing facilities for the execution of transactions performed.
d. Lack of perfection in preparing goods
Specialized in export transactions, unqualified exporters in tackling preparation, preparation of items may lead to a result which is not good for the survival transactions with trading partners abroad



CHAPTER III
CLOSING

A.    CONCLUSION
The import process generally is the act of entering goods or commodities from other countries into the country. In export and import activities generally requires the intervention of customs. In the process of imports Also required documents to launch and as a condition for this activity. Import documents, Among others: RKP (Arrival Plan of Carriers), PIB (Notice of Imported Goods), Manifest, Invoice, COO (certificat of Origin), DO0 (Delivery Order).
Not all countries are able to meet the needs of each country. Therefore, import activity is very beneficial for each country. In general, the benefits of export and import activities is to meet the needs of the community, increase the income of the state for their income, improve the economy of the people, and promoting the growth of the industry.
From the above description, it can be concluded that the exports and imports is very vital for every country. Due to reviews these activities, the country can meet the needs of society that can not be produced in their own country. Therefore, there is no single country in the world that do not perform import activities.
B.     SUGGESTION

v  For the government
Import policies need to be developed to deliver quality growth, as imports are dominated upstream products. While trying to reduce the dependency of raw materials and empower Indonesia's natural resources, which will create the nation's independence amid increasingly fierce trade competition.
v  For the people
Many factors influence the difference in production in each country. These factors include: geography, climate, level of mastery of science and technology and others. In an era of global trade, the flow of goods in and out very quickly. To expedite his business affairs, the employers should have considerable knowledge about import procedures, both in terms of regulation is always updated especially those related to international trade, and banks, all of which are inter-related and has been frequently arise in the field.


SOURCE

Hutabarat, Roselyne. 1989. Transaksi Ekspor Impor. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Dumairy. 1996. Perekonomian Indonesia. Jakarta: Erlangga.
www.bps.go.id


REGRESI LINEAR GANDA

REGRESI LINEAR GANDA

PENGERTIAN REGRESI
Untuk mengetahui bentuk hubungan digunakan analisis regresi. Secara umum ada dua macam hubungan antara dua variabel atau lebih, yaitu bentuk hubungan dan keeratan hubungan. Untuk keeratan hubungan dapat diketahui dengan analisis korelasi. Analisis regresi dipergunakan untuk menelaah hubungan antara dua variabel atau lebih, terutama untuk menelusuri pola hubungan yang modelnya belum diketahui dengan sempurna, atau untuk mengetahui bagaimana variasi dari beberapa variabel independen mempengaruhi variabel dependen dalam suatu fenomena yang kompleks. Jika X1, X2, … , Xi adalah variabel-variabel independen dan Y adalah variabel dependen, maka terdapat hubungan ungsional antara X dan Y, di mana variasi dari X akan diiringi pula oleh variasi dari Y. Secara matematika hubungan di atas dapat dijabarkan sebagai berikut: Y = f(X1, X2, …, Xi, e), di mana : Y adalah variabel dependen, X adalah variabel independen dan e adalah variabel residu (disturbance term).

REGRESI GANDA
Regresi ganda terdiri dari 2 variable bahkan lebih. Biasanya untuk meramalkan suatu variabel. Seperti : meramalkan berat badan seseorang jika kita memiliki data tinggi badan dan umur.
Rumus regresi ganda :
Yi = b0 + biXii + b2X2i + a
Atau yang kami dapatkan lainnya rumusnya menjadi sebgai berikut :
Y = b0 + b1X1 + b2X2 + a
Keterangan :
Y = sebagai variable terikat yang sudah di prediksi
X = variabel bebas yang sudah memiliki nilai tertentu
a = nilan konstanta
 



b = nilai arah penentu ramalan (prediksi) yang menunjukan nilai peningkatan (+) atau nilai penurunan (-) pada variabel Y.

 
b0 = Y – biXi – b2X2

PARAMETIK REGRESI GANDA
Asumsi-asumsi itu berhubungan dengan variabel pengganggu e, yakni :
  1. Variabel penggangu e adalah variabel random
  2. Variabel random e mempunyai nilai rata-rata untuk masing-masing Xi adalah nol, atau E(ei) = 0
  3. Homoskedastisitas, yakni varians masing-masing ei adalah sama (konstan) untuk setiap Xi  : E(ei2 = s2 konstan)
  4. Normalitas = variabel pengganggu e berdistribusi secara normal, atau ei ~ N(0,s2)
5.      Nonautocorrelation, yakni nilai ei yang berpasangan dengan Xi adalah independent terhadap uj lainnya :E(eiej) = 0 untuk i j
6.      Variabel pengganggu ei adalah independen terhadap variabel-variabel penjelaskan Xi dimana: E(eiXii) = E(eiX2i) = 0
UJI HIPOTESA
Untuk tujuan pengujian hipotesa, dilakukan tahap sebagai berikut:
Pengujian terhadap b0
H0 : H0 = 0 garis regresi naik dari titik nol (0)
H1 : H0 = 0 garis regresi tidak naik dari titik nol (0)
Jika level signifikansi adalah 5% maka :
Contoh : t(1/2an – k – 1) = t 0,02514-2-1) = 12,706
  t(hitung) = b0/Sb0 = 0,6441/4,5273 = -0,1423
Maka kesimpulan yang dapat ditarik adalah : Karena t(hitung) ≤ t(table) berarti berada dalam daerah penerimaan H0, sehingga b0 dianggap tidak berada secara bermakna dengan nol (0)


Pengujian terhadap b1 dan b2
H0 : H0 = 0 tidak ada hubungan yang bermakna antara Xi dengan Y
H1 : H0 ¹ 0 ada hubungan yang bermakna antara X1 dengan Y
Contoh : t(hitung) = b1/Sbi = 1,6610/1,1148 = 1,4899
Karena t(hitung) < t(table)  maka H0, diterima, yang bermakna bahwa koefisien itu tidak berbeda secara bermakna dengan nol (0).

Study Kasus Regresi Ganda
Salah seorang dosen ingin melakukan pengecekan pada beberapa mahasiswanya untuk melakukan donor darah ke sebuah PMI dengan mempertimbangkan perbedaan berat badan (Y) yang dipengaruhi oleh tinggi badan (X1 ) dan umur (X2). Data sebanyak 15 Mahasiswi Poltek CWE yang diambil secara acak, adapun data seperti table berikut :
No
Y
X1
X2
X1 Y
X2 Y
X1 2
X22
1
40
150
17
6000
680
22500
289
2
45
152
17
6840
765
23104
289
3
50
155
18
7750
900
24025
324
4
50
155
18
7750
900
24025
324
5
42
151
17
6342
714
22801
289
6
44
153
17
6732
748
23409
289
7
55
160
19
8800
1045
25600
361
8
60
163
20
9780
1200
26569
400
9
58
169
19
9802
1102
28561
361
10
48
154
18
7392
864
23716
324
11
46
150
18
6900
828
22500
324
12
50
153
18
7650
900
23409
324
13
65
170
20
11050
1300
28900
400
14
60
169
20
10140
1200
28561
400
15
49
167
18
8183
882
27889
324
Jumlah
762
2371
274
121111
14028
375569
5022



Jawaban  :

Uji Hipotesa
Ha     : Terdapat pengaruh yang significant antara berat badan terhadap tinggi badan dan umur.
H0   : Tidak terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan antara berat badan terhadap tinggi badan dan umur.

 

     = 0,8

 

 
      = 6,4


b0   = ∑Y – b1∑Xi – b2∑X2
       = 762 - 0,8(2371) - 6,4(274)
       = -2888,4



     = -192,56

Keterangan:
a = konstanta
b1 = koefisien regresi X1
b2 = koefisien regresi X2


Maka dicari Y adalah :
Y  = b0 + b1X1 + b2X2 + a
     = -2888,4 + 0,8(2371) + 6,4(274) + (-192,56)
     = 569,44

Maka nilai y adalah 569,44.

PENGUJIAN HIPOTESIS
Koefisien Korelasi Berganda (R)
    3214844207
Koefisien Determinasi (R2)
R2   2
F HITUNG
F HITUNG =

Ket:
K = jumlah variable bebas
F Tabel
Dk Pembilang = k
                         = 2
Dk Penyebut   = n – k – 1
                         = 15 – 2 – 1
                        = 12
F tabel = 3,89 (TABEL F α = 0,05)
Kriteria:
F hitung ≤ F tabel = Ho diterima
F hitung ≥ F tabel = Ho ditolak, Ha diterima

F hitung (0,67) ≤ F tabel (3,89) = Ho diterima.